{"id":1452,"date":"2021-11-24T17:11:45","date_gmt":"2021-11-24T09:11:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/?p=1452"},"modified":"2022-03-02T16:52:15","modified_gmt":"2022-03-02T08:52:15","slug":"the-fiscal-theory-of-the-price-level","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/?p=1452","title":{"rendered":"The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Recall the government&#8217;s budget constraint again,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>$$ p_tg_t+d_t=\\frac{d_{t+1}}{1+i_{t+1}}+T_t+(m_t-m_{t-1}) $$<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Divide by \\(p_t\\), and assume for simplicity that \\(m_t=m_{t+1}=&#8230;=\\bar{m}\\)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>$$ g_t+\\frac{d_t}{p_t}=\\frac{d_{t+1}}{p_t (1+i_{t+1})}+\\tau_t $$<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>denote \\(\\tilde{d_t}=d_t\/p_t\\), and recall that \\((1+i_{t+1})\\frac{p_t}{p_{t+1}}=1+r_{t+1}\\).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thus,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>$$ g_t+\\tilde{d_t}=\\frac{\\tilde{d}_{t+1}}{1+r_{t+1}}+\\tau_t $$<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Iterate forward, and impose the &#8220;no-Ponzi condition&#8221;, \\( \\lim_{s\\rightarrow \\infty} \\frac{\\tilde{d_{t+s}}}{\\prod_{j=1}^s 1+r_{t+j}}=0\\) to get,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>$$ \\tilde{d_t}=\\sum_{s=0}^{\\infty} \\beta^s (\\tau_{t+s}-g_{t+s}) $$<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>, where the equilibrium condition \\( \\beta=\\frac{1}{1+r}\\) has been imposed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Implication:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>$$ \\frac{d_t}{p_t}=\\sum_{s=0}^{\\infty} \\beta^s (\\tau_{t+s}-g_{t+s}) $$<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The &#8220;unpleasant arithmetic&#8221; stated that if the government has leadership, it can coerce expansions in money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In contrast, FTPL says that the above restrictions are not a constraint to the CB or government. Instead, it is an equilibrium relation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As a consequence, the CB and the government may choose policies independent of the above constraint. In the end, the price level \\(p_t\\) must then adjust such that the equation holds.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Recall the government&#8217;s budget constraint again, $$ p_tg_t+d_t=\\frac{d_{t+1}}{1+i_{t+1}}+T_t+(m_t-m_{t-1}) $$ Divide by \\(p_t\\), and assume for simplicity that \\(m_t=m_{t+1}=&#8230;=\\bar{m}\\) $$ g_t+\\frac{d_t}{p_t}=\\frac{d_{t+1}}{p_t (1+i_{t+1})}+\\tau_t $$ denote \\(\\tilde{d_t}=d_t\/p_t\\), and recall that \\((1+i_{t+1})\\frac{p_t}{p_{t+1}}=1+r_{t+1}\\). Thus, $$ g_t+\\tilde{d_t}=\\frac{\\tilde{d}_{t+1}}{1+r_{t+1}}+\\tau_t $$ Iterate forward, and impose the &#8220;no-Ponzi condition&#8221;, \\( \\lim_{s\\rightarrow \\infty} \\frac{\\tilde{d_{t+s}}}{\\prod_{j=1}^s 1+r_{t+j}}=0\\) to get, $$ \\tilde{d_t}=\\sum_{s=0}^{\\infty} \\beta^s (\\tau_{t+s}-g_{t+s}) $$ , where the equilibrium &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/?p=1452\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6,13],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1452"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1452"}],"version-history":[{"count":17,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1452\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2668,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1452\/revisions\/2668"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1452"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1452"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1452"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}