{"id":155,"date":"2021-11-12T14:38:07","date_gmt":"2021-11-12T06:38:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/?p=155"},"modified":"2022-03-02T16:52:44","modified_gmt":"2022-03-02T08:52:44","slug":"the-neutrality-of-money","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/?p=155","title":{"rendered":"The Neutrality of Money"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Assume the cash-in-advance constraint always binds \\((x_{t+1}=0)\\).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, private sectors maximise their utility s.t. budget constraint and cash-in-advance constraint. Let&#8217;s also include labor as a disutility and assume output is produced by labour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>$$ \\max_{c_t, b_{t+1}, x_{t+1}} \\sum_{t=0}^{\\infty}\\ \\beta^{t} [u(c_t)-v(l_t)] $$<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>$$ p_{t-1}y_{t-1}+b_t(1+i_t)+x_{t}-T_t=x_{t+1}+p_t c_t+b_{t+1} $$ <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> <span class=\"katex math multi-line\">0 \\leq x_{t+1}<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>$$ 0 \\leq l_t \\leq 1 $$ <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>, with \\( y_{t-1}=l_{t-1}\\)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now the output is not exogenous anymore but depends on an agent&#8217;s willingness to work.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>F.O.C.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>w.r.t. \\(c_t: \\quad      u'(c_t)=\\beta (1+i_{t+1})\\frac{p_t}{p_{t+1}}u'(c_{t+1}) \\)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>w.r.t. \\(l_t: \\quad     v'(l_t)=\\beta u'(c_{t+1})\\frac{p_t}{p_{t+1}} \\)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the steady state, \\( \\frac{p_t}{p_{t+1}}=\\frac{1}{1+\\pi}\\) and \\(y_t=l_t=c_t=y\\) (output is equal to labour&#8217;s production in the long run). The output could be calculated as the following equation. (at the steady state means in the long run).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> <span class=\"katex math multi-line\">v'(y)=\\beta u'(y)\\frac{1}{\\pi}<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Therefore, we can find that,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol><li><strong>Money is netural<\/strong>: if change \\( m \\) (stock of money, or money supply), then output is not affected. For example, if money doubles in all time, the fraction \\( \\frac{p_t}{p_{t+1}}\\) keeps constant. No affecting the real term of output \\( y\\).<\/li><li><strong>Moeny is not super netural<\/strong>: if change \\(\\pi\\) (inflation rate), then output would change. (y decrases if \\(\\pi\\) increases. That can be analysed by the curvture of \\( v\\) and \\( u\\) functions). <\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>Question: First we assume cash-in-advance constraint binds. The QTM states that \\( growth rate of money\\) and \\(inflation \\) is one-to-one correlated only if assuming \/(y\/) is stable (\\(m_t=p_t y\\)). However, we find the relationship between inflation and output here. There seems a contradiction of whether fixes \\(y\\) or not. So, how to bridge the connection between inflation and money growth?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Answer: From the demand point of view or the Cash-in-Advance constraint ( \\(p_t c_t=M_t, or x_t=0\\) by our previous assumption ). At the steady state, consumption is stationary, so \\( \\frac{M_t}{p_t}=\\frac{M_{t+1}}{p_{t+1}}= \\frac{M_{t+2}}{p_{t+2}} =&#8230;\\) imply the stock of money and price level are connected, and so the connection between growth rate of money and inlfation works. The inspiration is the cash-in-advance constraint binds, and we consider the problem by fixing consumption in the long-run stationary condition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The question and answer also state that the neutrality of money bases the key cash-in-advance assumption.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Empirical study examples are as McCandless and Weber (1995)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Reference<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>McCandless, G.T. and Weber, W.E., 1995. Some monetary facts.&nbsp;<em>Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review<\/em>,&nbsp;<em>19<\/em>(3), pp.2-11.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Assume the cash-in-advance constraint always binds \\((x_{t+1}=0)\\). Still, private sectors maximise their utility s.t. budget constraint and cash-in-advance constraint. Let&#8217;s also include labor as a disutility and assume output is produced by labour. $$ \\max_{c_t, b_{t+1}, x_{t+1}} \\sum_{t=0}^{\\infty}\\ \\beta^{t} [u(c_t)-v(l_t)] $$ $$ p_{t-1}y_{t-1}+b_t(1+i_t)+x_{t}-T_t=x_{t+1}+p_t c_t+b_{t+1} $$ 0 \\leq x_{t+1} $$ 0 \\leq l_t \\leq 1 $$ &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/?p=155\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">The Neutrality of Money<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6,13],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=155"}],"version-history":[{"count":37,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":208,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155\/revisions\/208"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=155"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=155"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=155"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}