\u4e2d\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u964d\u606f \u677e\u8d27\u5e01 \u5bbd\u4fe1\u7528 \u4e3a\u523a\u6fc0\u56fd\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u4fe1\u8d37\uff0c\u76d8\u6d3b\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5347\u606f \u4e3a\u5e94\u5bf9 \u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u53cc\u65b9\u7684\u53cc\u5411\u64cd\u4f5c\u4f7f\u5f97\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5229\u5dee\u7f29\u5c0f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
US interest rate is relatively more attractive to global investors than CNY. However, in the exchange market, CNY appreciates and the USD depreciates. How does that happen? Why investments do not flow to the U.S. market?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
In the following, we consider why money does not escape from the Chinese market. –<\/p>\n\n\n\n
CNY has continued appreciating since 2018, while the spread between CNY and USD converging. That is largely because of the regulation<\/strong>. – \u8d44\u672c\u7ba1\u5236\u3001\u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a\u5e72\u9884\u3001\u98ce\u9669\u56e0\u7d20<\/p>\n\n\n\n In this case, the real demand and supply of China in the EX market does not flow with the change of interest rate spread.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Investors consider not only profits <\/strong>but also risks<\/strong>. For the profit part, which is about the spread convergence, it does make sense that the US dollar should appreciate. However, for the risk part, we normally under-evaluate the risk of the U.S. market. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Although FRED increases the interest rate, that policy aims to battle hyperinflation ( face crisis) instead of actively controlling unexpected growth (contractionary policy). Therefore, the policy of increase in interest rate would more likely to end up with higher risks, which are investors does not want to face.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Chinese policy of decreasing interest rates might also aim to face the crisis. That is hard to evaluate which part risks dominate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n U.S. aims to 1. battle with inflation 2. attract money to flow from EU and Emerging market back into U.S. market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n China is facing severe international conditions as well. See news and reports e.g. economists 6th March.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u4e2d\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u964d\u606f \u677e\u8d27\u5e01 \u5bbd\u4fe1\u7528 \u4e3a\u523a\u6fc0\u56fd\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u4fe1\u8d37\uff0c\u76d8\u6d3b\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u76ee\u6807\u3002 \u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5347\u606f \u4e3a\u5e94\u5bf9 \u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u3002 \u53cc\u65b9\u7684\u53cc\u5411\u64cd\u4f5c\u4f7f\u5f97\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5229\u5dee\u7f29\u5c0f\u3002 US interest rate is relatively more attractive to global investors than CNY. However, in the exchange market, CNY appreciates and the USD depreciates. How does that happen? Why investments do not flow to the U.S. market? In the following, we consider why money does not escape from … Continue reading \u8fd1\u671f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u89c2\u5bdf<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,21],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3133"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3133"}],"version-history":[{"count":15,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3133\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3148,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3133\/revisions\/3148"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3133"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3133"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fanyuzhao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3133"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}2. Risks<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
Other Facts<\/h4>\n\n\n\n